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\title[Real ESSI Modeling and Simulation]
        {Real ESSI Modeling and Simulation: \\
         Reduction of Modeling Uncertainty }


%\subtitle
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\author[Jeremi{\'c}] % (optional, use only with lots of authors)
%{Boris~Jeremi{\'c}}
{Boris Jeremi{\'c}  
%\\ 
%{\tiny with contributions from} \\ 
%Federico Pisan{\`o}, Jose Abell, Kohei Watanabe, Chao Luo
}

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%{ Professor, University of California, Davis\\
{ University of California, Davis\\
%  and\\ 
%  Faculty Scientist, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley }
  Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley }
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\date[] % (optional, should be abbreviation of conference name)
{\small  Civil  Nuclear Energy Research and Development Working Group 
\\
(CNerdWG)
\\ 
Argonne National Laboratory 
\\
January 2015}

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%   just say so once. Everybody will be happy with that.



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\section{Introduction}




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\subsection*{Motivation: Modeling Uncertainty}



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\begin{frame}
 \frametitle{Motivation}

\begin{itemize}
  


%\vspace*{0.3cm}
  \item Improving seismic design (safety and economy) for Nuclear Facilities


\vspace*{3mm}
  \item      {E}arthquake {S}oil {S}tructure {I}nteraction
  ({ESSI}) in time and space, plays a major role in successes and failures



\vspace*{3mm}
  \item  Accurately   follow  and direct  the  flow  of  seismic energy in
  ESSI system to optimize for
    \begin{itemize}
      \item Safety and
      \item Economy
    \end{itemize}


% \vspace*{0.1cm}
%   \item   High    fidelity, high performance, deterministic and probabilistic,
%   numerical  modeling  and  simulation tool to analyze realistic ESSI behavior
%   $\Rightarrow$
%   Real ESSI Simulator\\
%   {\scriptsize (aka:} 
%   {\cyss  Vrlo  Prosto}, 
%   {\scriptsize Muy F{\'a}cil},  
%   {\scriptsize   Molto  Facile},  
%    \raisebox{-0.5mm}{\includegraphics[height=3.5mm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Conferences/2014/PRENOLIN/Dec2014_meeting/Present/Real_ESSI_in_Japanese/sc20141217105418/Hontoni_Kantan.jpg}},
%    {\footnotesize \greektext{Pragmatik'a E'ukolo}},
%    \raisebox{-0.8mm}{\includegraphics[height=3.5mm]{/home/jeremic/public_html/ESSI_Simulator/VrloProstoFarsi.jpeg}},
%    {\scriptsize Tr{\`e}s Facile}, 
%    {\cyss Vistinski Lesno},
%    {\scriptsize Wirklich Einfach} 
%   {\scriptsize )} 
% 

%  of NFs

\end{itemize}
\end{frame}
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% %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
\begin{frame}
% \frametitle{Seismic Energy Dissipation for \underline{Soil}-Foundation-Structure Systems}
 \frametitle{Seismic Energy Input and Dissipation}
% \frametitle{Seismic Energy Dissipation for 
%             \underline{Soil}-Foundation-Structure Systems}


\begin{itemize}


% \vspace*{0.2cm}
     \item Energy input: seismic waves input (flux) into SSI system


\vspace*{2mm}
     \item Energy dissipation:

     \begin{itemize}
\vspace*{1mm}
       \item Mechanical dissipation outside of SSI domain:
         \begin{itemize}
           \item Wave reflections
           \item SSI system oscillation radiation
         \end{itemize}
\vspace*{1mm}
       \item Mechanical dissipation/conversion inside SSI domain:
         \begin{itemize}
           \item Inelasticity (plasticity, damage) of soil and rock
           \item Inelasticity (plasticity, gaping) of contact zone 
           \item Inelasticity (plasticity, damage) of  structure, foundation
           \item Viscous coupling of solids and fluids (pores, soil)
%           \item viscous coupling of structure/foundation with fluids 
%           \item potential and kinetic energy
%           \item potential $\leftarrow \! \! \! \! \! \! \rightarrow$ kinetic energy
         \end{itemize}                           

    
    
%   \item Numerical energy dissipation (numerical damping/production and period  errors)
%   \item Numerical energy dissipation (damping/production)
  
\vspace*{1mm}
     \item Numerical energy dissipation and production

  \end{itemize}

\end{itemize}

%
\end{frame}
%  %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
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\begin{frame}
 \frametitle{Predictive Capabilities}
% \frametitle{High Fidelity Modeling of SFS System:
% Verification, Validation and Prediction}

\begin{itemize}


     \item {{Verification} provides evidence that the
   model is solved correctly.} Mathematics issue. 

\vspace*{0.2cm}
     \item {{Validation} provides
   evidence that the correct model is solved.} Physics issue. 

\vspace*{0.2cm}
   \item {Prediction}:  use  of  computational  model  to foretell the state of a
   physical   system   under  consideration  under  conditions  for  which  the
   computational model has not been validated.


\vspace*{0.2cm}
   \item Predictive capabilities with {low Kolmogorov Complexity}

\end{itemize}


\end{frame}











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\begin{frame}
 \frametitle{Reduction of Modeling Uncertainty}

\begin{itemize}


  \item  Simplified modeling:  Features (important ?)   are 
  neglected (soil and structure complexity, 6D ground motions, non-linearities)

\vspace*{3mm}
     \item   Modeling   Uncertainty:   unrealistic   and   unnecessary  modeling
     simplifications

\vspace*{3mm}
     \item  Modeling  simplifications   are  justifiable  if  one  or  two  level  higher
     sophistication  model  shows  that  features  being  simplified out are not
     important

%\vspace*{0.1cm}
%     \item    Use   of  results  from  models  with  (high) modeling uncertainty
%     should be avoided
  


\end{itemize}
\end{frame}


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\frametitle{Uncertain Material and Loads}


\begin{figure}[!hbpt]
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\hfill
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%
\end{center}
\end{figure}                                                          

%\vspace*{-0.3cm}
{\footnotesize  Transformation  of SPT $N$-value $\rightarrow$ 1-D Young's modulus, $E$
(cf. Phoon and Kulhawy (1999B))}
%
% Histogram of the residual (w.r.t the deterministic transformation equation) Young's modulus, along with fitted probability density function
%
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% 
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% 
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% % 
% \includegraphics[width=2.7truecm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Thesis/KonstantinosKarapiperis/Soil_Uncertainty_Report_Pdf_Cdf_Figures/FieldPhiPdf.pdf}
% \includegraphics[width=2.7truecm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Thesis/KonstantinosKarapiperis/Soil_Uncertainty_Report_Pdf_Cdf_Figures/FieldPhiCdf.pdf}
% \includegraphics[width=2.7truecm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Thesis/KonstantinosKarapiperis/Soil_Uncertainty_Report_Pdf_Cdf_Figures/FieldSuPdf.pdf}
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% \\
% \mbox{Field $\phi$} \hspace*{4cm} \mbox{Field $c_u$}
% \hfill
% \includegraphics[width=2.7truecm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Thesis/KonstantinosKarapiperis/Soil_Uncertainty_Report_Pdf_Cdf_Figures/LabPhiPdf.pdf}
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% \\
% \mbox{Lab $\phi$} \hspace*{4cm} \mbox{Lab $c_u$}
% %
% \end{center}
% \end{figure}                                                          
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% 























% 
% 












 
















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\section{Real ESSI Modeling}






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\subsection*{Modeling Issues}




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\begin{frame}
 \frametitle{Real ESSI Simulator}
% \frametitle{High Fidelity Modeling of SFS System:
% Verification, Validation and Prediction}

\begin{itemize}

  \item  A System for high fidelity,  high performance/parallel, time  domain, 
  deterministic  and  probabilistic,  nonlinear, 3D, finite element modeling and
  simulation of earthquake soil/rock structure interaction of Nuclear Facilities


  \vspace*{4mm}
  \item  Real ESSI Simulator, also known as: \\
%         {\cyss Vrlo Prosto}, 
         {\cyss Stvarno  Lako}, 
         { Muy F{\'a}cil},  
         {Molto  Facile},  
         \raisebox{-1.2mm}{\includegraphics[height=5mm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Conferences/2014/PRENOLIN/Dec2014_meeting/Present/Real_ESSI_in_Japanese/sc20141217105418/Hontoni_Kantan.jpg}},
         {\greektext{Pragmatik'a E'ukolo}},
         \raisebox{-1.6mm}{\includegraphics[height=5.5mm]{/home/jeremic/public_html/ESSI_Simulator/VrloProstoFarsi.jpeg}},
         {Tr{\`e}s Facile}, 
         {\cyss Vistinski Lesno},
         {Wirklich Einfach} 

% 
%  \vspace*{3mm}
%     \item Developed  in collaboration and with a financial
%     support  from the US-NRC,  US-DOE, CNSC-CCSN, US-NSF, 
%        AREVA NP GmbH and Shimizu Corp.

% \vspace*{0.1cm}
%    \item Real ESSI alternative international names: 
%    {\cyss  Vrlo  Prosto}, 
%    Muy F{\'a}cil,  
%    Molto  Facile,  
%    \raisebox{-1mm}{\includegraphics[height=5mm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Conferences/2014/PRENOLIN/Dec2014_meeting/Present/Real_ESSI_in_Japanese/sc20141217105418/Hontoni_Kantan.jpg}},
%    {\large \greektext{Pragmatik'a E'ukolo}},
%    \raisebox{-1mm}{\includegraphics[height=5mm]{/home/jeremic/public_html/ESSI_Simulator/VrloProstoFarsi.jpeg}},
%    Tr{\`e}s Facile, 
%    {\cyss Vistinski Lesno},
%    Wirklich Einfach 





\end{itemize}


\end{frame}



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\begin{frame}
\frametitle{Important Issues for ESSI Modeling and Simulation}

   \begin{itemize}


     \item 6D, inclined, body and surface  seismic waves

\vspace*{0.6mm}
    \item Incoherent seismic motions

\vspace*{0.6mm}
    \item Inelastic/Nonlinear material (soil, rock, concrete, steel, \&c.)

\vspace*{0.6mm}
    \item Inelastic/Nonlinear, foundation--soil, dry, saturated slip--gap

\vspace*{0.6mm}
    \item Saturated dense and loose soil 
\vspace*{0.6mm}
    \item Buoyant forces

\vspace*{0.6mm}
     \item Piles and pile groups 

\vspace*{0.6mm}
    \item Isolators, dissipators


\vspace*{0.6mm}
    \item Uncertain material and loading

\vspace*{0.6mm}
     \item Verification and Validation


\end{itemize}
% 
% \vspace*{-5mm}
% \begin{figure}[!hbpt]
% \begin{center}
% \includegraphics[width=2.50cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Conferences/2014/DOE_Natural_Phenomena_Hazards_Germantown_MD-21-22Oct/present/Model01.jpeg}
% \hfill
% \includegraphics[width=2.50cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Conferences/2014/DOE_Natural_Phenomena_Hazards_Germantown_MD-21-22Oct/present/Model02.jpeg}
% \hfill
% \includegraphics[width=2.50cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Conferences/2014/DOE_Natural_Phenomena_Hazards_Germantown_MD-21-22Oct/present/Model03.jpeg}
% \hfill
% \includegraphics[width=2.50cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Conferences/2014/DOE_Natural_Phenomena_Hazards_Germantown_MD-21-22Oct/present/Model04.jpeg}
% \end{center}
% \end{figure}
% 



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\frametitle{Inform Designers and Regulators}
%\frametitle{Full PDFs of all DOFs (and {\huge $\sigma_{ij}$, $\epsilon_{ij}$}, \&c.)}
%\frametitle{Full PDFs for Real Data Case}


%\vspace*{-1.00cm}
\begin{figure}[!hbpt]
\begin{center}


\includegraphics[width=2.10cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Conferences/2014/DOE_Natural_Phenomena_Hazards_Germantown_MD-21-22Oct/present/Model01.jpeg}
\includegraphics[width=2.10cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Conferences/2014/DOE_Natural_Phenomena_Hazards_Germantown_MD-21-22Oct/present/Model02.jpeg}
\includegraphics[width=2.10cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Conferences/2014/DOE_Natural_Phenomena_Hazards_Germantown_MD-21-22Oct/present/Model03.jpeg}
\includegraphics[width=2.10cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Conferences/2014/DOE_Natural_Phenomena_Hazards_Germantown_MD-21-22Oct/present/Model04.jpeg}
\includegraphics[width=2.1cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Conferences/2011/NRC_LBNL_Review_Panel_Feb2011/Case_study_model/visit0002.jpeg}
\\
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\includegraphics[width=1.50cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Conferences/2011/NRC_LBNL_Review_Panel_Sept2011/2D_faul_slip_model_top_200m.pdf}
\includegraphics[width=1.8cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Thesis/NimaTafazzoli/FreeFieldInclinedMotionModels/FaultSlip_Ormsby/figs/surface_200m/middle_acceleration_x.pdf}
\includegraphics[width=1.8cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Thesis/NimaTafazzoli/FreeFieldInclinedMotionModels/FaultSlip_Ormsby/figs/surface_200m/middle_acceleration_z.pdf}
\includegraphics[width=1.3truecm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Thesis/NimaTafazzoli/SSI_Contact_Element_01_13/figs/91_97/top_structure_x_acceleration.pdf}
\includegraphics[width=1.3truecm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Thesis/NimaTafazzoli/SSI_Contact_Element_01_13/figs/91_97/top_structure_z_acceleration.pdf}
\includegraphics[width=1.3truecm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Thesis/NimaTafazzoli/SSI_Contact_Element_01_13/figs/91_97/top_structure_x_acceleration_FFT.pdf}
\includegraphics[width=1.3truecm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Thesis/NimaTafazzoli/SSI_Contact_Element_01_13/figs/91_97/top_structure_z_acceleration_FFT.pdf}
\\
\includegraphics[width=2cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Thesis/PanagiotaTasiopoulou/Thesis/GAJO.original/GAJO_Figures/comparison_large_solid.pdf}
\includegraphics[width=2cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Thesis/PanagiotaTasiopoulou/Thesis/GAJO.original/GAJO_Figures/comparison_large.pdf}
\includegraphics[width=1.0cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Papers/2008/Pile_in_liquefied_soil_upU/NewFiga/Snap_6_T002.eps}
\includegraphics[width=1.0cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Papers/2008/Pile_in_liquefied_soil_upU/NewFiga/Snap_6_T005.eps}
\includegraphics[width=1.1cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Papers/2008/Pile_in_liquefied_soil_upU/NewFiga/Snap_6_T010.eps}
\includegraphics[width=1.15cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Papers/2008/Pile_in_liquefied_soil_upU/NewFiga/Snap_6_T015.eps}
\includegraphics[width=1.15cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Papers/2008/Pile_in_liquefied_soil_upU/NewFiga/Snap_6_T020.eps}
\includegraphics[width=1.15cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Papers/2008/Pile_in_liquefied_soil_upU/NewFiga/Snap_6_T080.eps}
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\includegraphics[width=2.0cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Papers/2007/ProbabilisticYielding/figures/vonMises_G_and_cu_very_uncertain/Contour_PDF-edited.pdf}
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\includegraphics[width=2.0cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Conferences/2009/UNION-Univ-BGD/Present/Plots_with_Labels/EvolutionaryPDF_Actual-Edited.pdf}
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\includegraphics[width=2.50cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Conferences/2009/UNION-Univ-BGD/Present/Plots_with_Labels/PDFs_at6sec_Actual_vs_NoData-Edited.pdf}
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\includegraphics[width=2.10cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Conferences/2009/UNION-Univ-BGD/Present/Plots_with_Labels/CDFs_at6sec_Actual_vs_NoData-Edited.pdf}
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\includegraphics[width=3.0cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Conferences/2009/UNION-Univ-BGD/Present/NewPlots/with_legends_and_labels/Exceedance50cm_LomaPrieta-Edited_ps.pdf}
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\end{center}
\end{figure}


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\section{Summary}


\subsection*{Summary}


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\begin{frame}
  \frametitle{Summary}
  
  \begin{itemize}


  \item    Earthquake Soil Structure Interaction,
  nonlinear, uncertain, in  time domain, plays a
  decisive role in seismic performance of Nuclear Facilities

\vspace*{0.1cm}
  \item           Improve assessment of seismic performance (safety and economy)
  of nuclear  facilities, through high fidelity, high performance, physics
  based modeling and simulation

\vspace*{0.1cm}
  \item  One  available  tool  for modeling  and  simulation: Real  ESSI 
  Simulator, used  for deterministic and probabilistic assessment  of safety and
  economy (design, regulatory decision making, \&c.)


 
\vspace*{0.1cm}
  \item      Education  and  training  of  users  (designers, regulators,
  owners) proves essential
  
  
\end{itemize}


\end{frame}
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\begin{frame}
  \frametitle{Acknowledgement}
  
  \begin{itemize}


%  \item  High fidelity
%  modeling and simulations for performance assessment of infrastructure systems


\vspace*{0.1cm}
  \item    Funding from and collaboration with the US-NRC, US-DOE, US-NSF, CNSC,
  AREVA NP GmbH, and Shimizu Corp. is greatly appreciated,
  
\vspace*{0.4cm}
  \item  Collaborators:      
  Dr.        Budnitz       (LBNL),   Dr. Kammerer (NRC, Private Consultant), Mr.
  Orbovi{\'c} (CNSC), Prof. Pisan{\`o} (TU Delft), Prof. Sett (UB), Mr. Watanabe
  (Shimizu),  Mr.  Vlaski  (AREVA) and UCD students: Mr. Abell, Mr. Karapiperis,
  Mr. Luo, Mr. Kamranimoghadam, Mr. Feng

%\vspace*{0.2cm}
%  \item  Contact: \\
%   {\bf \url{jeremic@ucdavis.edu}}~~~;~~~{\bf \url{bjeremic@lbl.gov}}
  
\end{itemize}


\end{frame}




\end{document}

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