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\title[Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design]
        {Nonlinear Simulations for Soil-Structure 
         Interaction and Performance-Based Design}


%\subtitle
%{Include Only If Paper Has a Subtitle}

%\author[Author, Another] % (optional, use only with lots of authors)
%{F.~Author\inst{1} \and S.~Another\inst{2}}
% - Give the names in the same order as the appear in the paper.
% - Use the \inst{?} command only if the authors have different
%   affiliation.
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\pgfdeclareimage[height=0.7cm]{lbnl-logo}{/home/jeremic/BG/amblemi/lbnl-logo}


\author[
\href{http://sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/}{Jeremi{\'c}} 
] % (optional, use only with lots of authors)
%{Boris~Jeremi{\'c}}
{
\href{http://sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/}{Boris Jeremi{\'c}}
}

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%{ Professor, University of California, Davis\\
{ University of California, Davis\\
%  and\\
%  Faculty Scientist, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley }
  Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley }
% - Use the \inst command only if there are several affiliations.
% - Keep it simple, no one is interested in your street address.


\date[] % (optional, should be abbreviation of conference name)
{\small A University of California Pacific Rim Forum  \\ 
The Earthquake Resilience of Nuclear Facilities \\
Berkeley, CA. June, 2015}

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% - A conference audience is likely to know very little of what you
%   are going to talk about. So *simplify*!
% - In a 20min talk, getting the main ideas across is hard
%   enough. Leave out details, even if it means being less precise than
%   you think necessary.
% - If you omit details that are vital to the proof/implementation,
%   just say so once. Everybody will be happy with that.



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\section{Motivation}




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\subsection*{Introduction}



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\begin{frame}
 \frametitle{Motivation}

\begin{itemize}



%\vspace*{0.3cm}
  \item Improve seismic design of soil structure systems


\vspace*{1mm}
  \item  {E}arthquake  {S}oil  {S}tructure  {I}nteraction  ({ESSI})  in time and
  space, plays a decisive role in successes and failures



%\vspace*{0.1cm}
\vspace*{1mm}
  \item  Accurate  following  and directing (!) the  flow  of  seismic energy in
  ESSI system to optimize for
    \begin{itemize}
      \item Safety and
      \item Economy
    \end{itemize}


%\vspace*{0.1cm}
\vspace*{1mm}
%  \item  Development of  high  fidelity  numerical modeling and simulation tool
  \item  High  fidelity  numerical modeling and simulation tool
  to analyze realistic ESSI behavior: 
  The {\bf Real ESSI} Simulator
  (
%  {\small aka}: {\cyrssDvanaest Stvarno  Lako},
{\small aka}: {\cyrssDvanaest Vrlo Prosto},
{ Muy F{\'a}cil},
{Molto  Facile},
\raisebox{-1.2mm}{\includegraphics[height=5mm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/lecture_notes_SOKOCALO/Figure-files/Real_ESSI_in_different_langauges/Real_ESSI_Chinese.jpeg}},
\raisebox{-1.2mm}{\includegraphics[height=5mm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/lecture_notes_SOKOCALO/Figure-files/Real_ESSI_in_different_langauges/Real_ESSI_Japanese.jpg}},
{\greektext{Pragmatik'a E'ukolo}},
\raisebox{-1.2mm}{\includegraphics[height=5mm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/lecture_notes_SOKOCALO/Figure-files/Real_ESSI_in_different_langauges/Real_ESSI_Farsi.jpg}},
{Tr{\`e}s Facile},
{\cyrssDvanaest Vistinski Lesno},
{Wirklich Einfach})

\end{itemize}
\end{frame}
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\begin{frame}
 \frametitle{Modeling and Parametric Uncertainty}

\begin{itemize}



\vspace*{1mm}
     \item  Modeling    uncertainty: (unrealistic) modeling simplifications for
     important features

         \begin{itemize}

             \item     Inelastic    material:    soil,   rock,  
              concrete,   steel;   Contacts,  foundation--soil,  dry,  saturated
              slip--gap; Nonlinear buoyant forces; Isolators, Dissipators

              \item      Seismic   Motions:  6D,  inclined,  body  and  surface 
              waves (translations, rotations); Incoherency
              

         \end{itemize}


\vspace*{1mm}
     \item   Parametric Uncertainty: 



\begin{figure}[!hbpt]
\begin{center}
%
\hspace*{-7mm}
\includegraphics[width=5.5truecm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Papers/2008/JGGE-GoverGmax/figures/YoungModulus_RawData_and_MeanTrend_01-Ed.pdf}
% \hfill
\includegraphics[width=4.0truecm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Papers/2008/JGGE-GoverGmax/figures/YoungModulus_Histogram_Normal_01-Ed.pdf}
%
\end{center}
\end{figure}


\end{itemize}

%
\end{frame}



%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
\begin{frame}
 \frametitle{Predictive Capabilities}
% \frametitle{High Fidelity Modeling of SFS System:
% Verification, Validation and Prediction}

\begin{itemize}


     \item  {{  Verification:}  provides  evidence  that  the  model is solved
     correctly.} Mathematics issue.  Well developed (for the Real ESSI Simulator).

\vspace*{2mm}
     \item  {{  Validation:}  provides  evidence  that  the  correct  model is
     solved.} Physics issue. Work in progress, a new US-DOE project. 
        
\vspace*{2mm}
   \item {  Prediction:}  use  of  computational  model
   to  foretell  the  state  of  a  physical  system  under  consideration under
   conditions for which the computational model has not been validated.



\vspace*{2mm}
     \item Goal is to predict and inform, not diagnose or fit.
%     \item Modeling and simulation goal is to predict and inform, not diagnose or fit

%
\end{itemize}


\end{frame}





% 
% %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
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% \begin{frame}
%  \frametitle{Validation Experiments}
% % \frametitle{High Fidelity Modeling of SFS System:
% % Verification, Validation and Prediction}
%    \begin{itemize}
%        
% 
%        \item Validation experiments:
% 
%        \begin{itemize}
% 
%        \item Model validation experiments
%        \item  Designed  and  executed  to  quantitatively estimate mathematical
%        model's ability to simulate well defined physical behavior
%        \item   Customer is the  simulation  tool (Real ESSI Simulator) (conceptual  model, 
%        computational model)
% %       \, computational solution)
% %        is the customer
%        \end{itemize}
% 
% 
% 
% \vspace*{3mm}
%        \item  Traditional Experiments are different:
%        (a)  improve    understanding    of    physics,  (b) improve  the 
%        mathematical models, (c) assess component performance
% 
% 
%      \end{itemize}
% 
% %
% % \begin{itemize}
% % 
% % 
% %      \item 
% % %
% % \end{itemize}
% % 
% 
% \end{frame}
% 


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\section{Real ESSI for Performance-Based Design}



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\subsection{Inelastic Modeling}


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\begin{frame}
\frametitle{Real ESSI Models}


\begin{itemize}


\item  Full (6D)  seismic  motion  input  (body  and  surface waves)
%  using the Domain
% Reduction Method
% % (Bielak et al.)

\vspace*{2mm}
\item Inelastic (saturated or dry) soil/rock

\vspace*{2mm}
\item Inelastic (saturated or dry) contact (foundation --  soil/rock)

\vspace*{2mm}
\item Buoyant (nonlinear) forces

\vspace*{2mm}
\item Inelastic structural modeling

\vspace*{2mm}
\item Verification (extensive) and Validation (in progress)

\end{itemize}

\end{frame}

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\begin{frame}
\frametitle{Inelastic Contact, Base Slip and Gap}

\vspace*{-1.3cm}
\begin{figure}[!h]
\begin{center}
\includegraphics[width=1.80cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Conferences/2011/NRC_LBNL_Review_Panel_Sept2011/2D_faul_slip_model_top_200m.pdf}
\hspace*{0.2cm}
\includegraphics[width=3.0cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Thesis/NimaTafazzoli/FreeFieldInclinedMotionModels/FaultSlip_Ormsby/figs/surface_200m/middle_acceleration_x.pdf}
\hspace*{-0.5cm}
\includegraphics[width=3.0cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Thesis/NimaTafazzoli/FreeFieldInclinedMotionModels/FaultSlip_Ormsby/figs/surface_200m/middle_acceleration_z.pdf}
\includegraphics[width=3.5cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Conferences/2011/NRC_LBNL_Review_Panel_Feb2011/Case_study_model/visit0002.jpeg}
\end{center}
\end{figure}




\vspace*{-0.3cm}
\begin{figure}[!H]
\begin{center}
%\hline 
\includegraphics[width=2.0truecm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Thesis/NimaTafazzoli/SSI_Contact_Element_01_13/figs/91_97/top_structure_x_acceleration.pdf}
\hfill
\includegraphics[width=2.0truecm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Thesis/NimaTafazzoli/SSI_Contact_Element_01_13/figs/91_97/top_structure_z_acceleration.pdf}
\hfill
\includegraphics[width=2.0truecm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Thesis/NimaTafazzoli/SSI_Contact_Element_01_13/figs/91_97/bottom_structure_x_acceleration.pdf}
\hfill
\includegraphics[width=2.0truecm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Thesis/NimaTafazzoli/SSI_Contact_Element_01_13/figs/91_97/bottom_structure_z_acceleration.pdf}
\end{center}
\end{figure}
%
\vspace*{-0.6cm}
\hspace*{3mm}
{\tiny top X}   
\hspace*{23mm}
{\tiny top Z}   
\hspace*{23mm}
{\tiny bottom X}
\hspace*{23mm}
{\tiny bottom Z}



\vspace*{1mm}
\begin{tiny}
\begin{figure}[H]
\begin{flushleft}
%\hspace*{-1cm}
\begin{tabular}{cccc} 
%\hline 
{\tiny $4.5s$}
&
{\tiny $4.6s$}
&             
{\tiny $4.7s$}
&             
{\tiny $4.8s$}
\\            
\includegraphics[width=1.3truecm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Thesis/NimaTafazzoli/SSI_Contact_Element_01_13/figs/Gap_Slide_Magnitude_91_9pieces/slide450.pdf}
&
\includegraphics[width=1.3truecm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Thesis/NimaTafazzoli/SSI_Contact_Element_01_13/figs/Gap_Slide_Magnitude_91_9pieces/slide460.pdf}
&
\includegraphics[width=1.3truecm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Thesis/NimaTafazzoli/SSI_Contact_Element_01_13/figs/Gap_Slide_Magnitude_91_9pieces/slide470.pdf}
&
\includegraphics[width=1.3truecm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Thesis/NimaTafazzoli/SSI_Contact_Element_01_13/figs/Gap_Slide_Magnitude_91_9pieces/slide480.pdf}
\\
{\tiny $4.9s$}
&             
{\tiny $5.0s$}
&             
{\tiny $5.1s$}
&             
{\tiny $5.2s$}
\\            
\includegraphics[width=1.3truecm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Thesis/NimaTafazzoli/SSI_Contact_Element_01_13/figs/Gap_Slide_Magnitude_91_9pieces/slide490.pdf}
&
\includegraphics[width=1.3truecm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Thesis/NimaTafazzoli/SSI_Contact_Element_01_13/figs/Gap_Slide_Magnitude_91_9pieces/slide500.pdf}
&
\includegraphics[width=1.3truecm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Thesis/NimaTafazzoli/SSI_Contact_Element_01_13/figs/Gap_Slide_Magnitude_91_9pieces/slide510.pdf}
&
\includegraphics[width=1.3truecm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Thesis/NimaTafazzoli/SSI_Contact_Element_01_13/figs/Gap_Slide_Magnitude_91_9pieces/slide520.pdf}
%\\
%
%\hline
\end{tabular}
%\caption{Distribution of sliding along the contact interface for Ricker wave
%(gray scale given in meters)}
\label{fig:3d_ricker1000_slide_9}
\end{flushleft}
\end{figure}
\end{tiny}

\vspace*{-3cm}
\hspace*{-1cm}
\begin{figure}[!H]
\begin{flushright}
%\hspace*{-1cm}
\includegraphics[width=3cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Thesis/NimaTafazzoli/SSI_Contact_Element_01_13/figs/energy_sliding_92/energy_time.pdf}
%\hspace*{-1cm}
\end{flushright}
\end{figure}



\end{frame}


% %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
% %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
% \begin{frame}
% % \frametitle{No Volume Change, Compressive and Dilative Soil}
%  \frametitle{1D Wave (?!), No Volume Change and Dilative Soil}
% 
%  
% \vspace*{5mm}
%  
%  \begin{itemize}
% 
% 
%    \item Lack of soil volume change data for \\
%          regular $G/G_{max}$ and damping testing
% 
%    \item Significant influence on \\
%          Seismic motion propagation
% 
% 
%  \end{itemize}
% 
% \vspace*{-20mm}
% \begin{figure}[!h]
% \begin{flushright}
% \hspace*{-1cm}
%   \includegraphics[width=3.3cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Thesis/FedericoPisano/Pisano_model/Issue_of_dilatancy/sine1Hz-4.pdf}
% %\hspace*{-0.3cm}
% %  \includegraphics[width=4.3cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Thesis/FedericoPisano/Pisano_model/Issue_of_dilatancy/sine1Hz_comp-4.pdf}
% \\
% %\hspace*{-0.3cm}
%   \includegraphics[width=3.3cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Thesis/FedericoPisano/Pisano_model/Issue_of_dilatancy/sine1Hz_dil-4.pdf}
% \end{flushright}
% \end{figure}
% 
% 
% \vspace*{-40mm}
% \begin{figure}[!h]
% \begin{flushleft}
%   \includegraphics[width=6cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Thesis/FedericoPisano/Pisano_model/Issue_of_dilatancy/Northridge1-4.pdf}
% \end{flushleft}
% \end{figure}
% 
% \end{frame}
% % 
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\begin{frame}
 \frametitle{Uncertain Inelastic Wave Propagation}

\vspace*{6mm}

\begin{itemize}
    \item Probabilistic Elasto-Plasticity 
    \vspace*{3mm}
    \item Stochastic Elastic-Plastic \\
          Finite Element Method 

\end{itemize}

\vspace*{-2.50cm}
\begin{figure}[!hbpt]
\begin{flushright}
\includegraphics[width=55mm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Papers/2007/ProbabilisticYielding/figures/vonMises_G_and_cu_very_uncertain/Contour_PDF-edited.pdf}
\hspace*{-8mm}
\end{flushright}
\end{figure}
%\hfill

\vspace*{-1.50cm}
\begin{figure}[!hbpt]
\begin{center}
\includegraphics[width=25mm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Conferences/2009/UNION-Univ-BGD/Present/Plots_with_Labels/EvolutionaryPDF_Actual-Edited.pdf}
%\hfill
\includegraphics[width=30mm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Conferences/2009/UNION-Univ-BGD/Present/Plots_with_Labels/PDFs_at6sec_Actual_vs_NoData-Edited.pdf}
%
\includegraphics[width=25mm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Conferences/2009/UNION-Univ-BGD/Present/Plots_with_Labels/CDFs_at6sec_Actual_vs_NoData-Edited.pdf}
%\hfill
\includegraphics[width=35mm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Conferences/2009/UNION-Univ-BGD/Present/NewPlots/with_legends_and_labels/Exceedance50cm_LomaPrieta-Edited_ps.pdf}
%\vspace*{-0.5cm}
\end{center}
\end{figure}


\end{frame}


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\subsection{6D Seismic Motions}
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\begin{frame}
\frametitle{6D Motions: Free Field}


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\begin{center}
\href{http://sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/lecture_notes_online_material/_Chapter_Applications_ESSI_for_NPPs/Free_Field_small_model_April2015/movie_input.mp4}
  {\includegraphics[width=55mm]{movie_input_mp4_icon.jpeg}}
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\begin{frame}
\frametitle{From 6D to 1D?}


\begin{itemize}


\item Record a  full  6D  (3D)  motions in one horizontal direction


\item  Develop a vertically propagating shear wave in 1D

\item  Apply  1D vertically propagating shear wave

\end{itemize}

\vspace*{-2mm}
\begin{figure}[!H]
\begin{center}
 \includegraphics[width=8.5cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Conferences/2015/CompDyn/Present/6D_to_1D_01.jpg}
\end{center}
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\begin{frame}
\frametitle{6D and 1D: Free Field}


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\begin{center}
\href{http://sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/lecture_notes_online_material/_Chapter_Applications_Earthquake_Soil_Structure_Interaction_General_Aspects/ESSI_VisIt_movies_Jose_19May2015/movie_ff_3d.mp4}
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\begin{frame}
\frametitle{6D vs 1D: NPP ESSI Response}


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\begin{center}
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\href{http://sokocalo.engr.ucdavis.edu/~jeremic/lecture_notes_online_material/_Chapter_Applications_Earthquake_Soil_Structure_Interaction_General_Aspects/ESSI_VisIt_movies_Jose_19May2015/movie_2_npps.mp4}
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\section{Summary}


\subsection*{Summary}


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\begin{frame}
  \frametitle{New 5 Year U.S. DOE Project} 

  \begin{itemize}

%     \item  U.S.  Department  of Energy (DOE) has had a long-term commitment and
%      leadership  role  in  establishing guidelines and analysis capabilities for
%      the    seismic  safety of critical facilities 
% 
%      \item  In  the late 1980's, the DOE developed DOE Standard  1020, the first
%      risk-informed, performance-based design standards for nuclear facilities
% 
%\vspace*{2mm}
%     \item    New  US-DOE  Project, LBNL,  UCD  and UNR: Development of
     \item  Development  of  advanced    computational  tools  for  modeling and
     simulating the earthquake response of nuclear facilities

%\vspace*{2mm}
\vspace*{2mm}
     \item  Enhance understanding of the expected levels of damage, and margins
     against  failure,  for  critical  facilities subjected to earthquake ground
     motions



\vspace*{2mm}
     \item  Project Team:

     \begin{itemize}

       \item  Dr.  David  McCallen  (Project  Leader),  UCOP and LBNL
              
       \item Prof. Ian Buckle (Validation Experiments), UNR

       \item  Prof. Boris Jeremic (Code development), UCD and LBNL

     \end{itemize}

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%\vspace*{2mm}
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%\vspace*{2mm}
%     \item 
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\end{itemize}


\end{frame}



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\begin{frame}


\frametitle{Concluding Remarks}

  \begin{itemize}

\vspace*{1mm}
  \item    High    fidelity   numerical modeling and simulation (inelastic, time
  domain) used to reduce modeling uncertainty

\vspace*{1mm}
  \item Parametric uncertainty needs to be taken into account

\vspace*{1mm}
     \item Goal is to {predict} and {inform}, not fit or diagnose

\vspace*{1mm}
  \item Change state of practice  (and research)

\vspace*{1mm}
  \item Education  (designers, regulators, owners, \&c.) is essential
  
  
\end{itemize}


\vspace*{-5mm}
\begin{figure}[!hbpt]
\begin{center}
\includegraphics[width=2.20cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Conferences/2014/DOE_Natural_Phenomena_Hazards_Germantown_MD-21-22Oct/present/Model01.jpeg}
\includegraphics[width=2.20cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Conferences/2014/DOE_Natural_Phenomena_Hazards_Germantown_MD-21-22Oct/present/Model02.jpeg}
\includegraphics[width=2.20cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Conferences/2014/DOE_Natural_Phenomena_Hazards_Germantown_MD-21-22Oct/present/Model03.jpeg}
\includegraphics[width=2.20cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Conferences/2014/DOE_Natural_Phenomena_Hazards_Germantown_MD-21-22Oct/present/Model04.jpeg}
\includegraphics[width=2.20cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Conferences/2011/NRC_LBNL_Review_Panel_Feb2011/Case_study_model/visit0002.jpeg}
\end{center}
\end{figure}


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\begin{frame}
  \frametitle{Acknowledgement}

  \begin{itemize}



\vspace*{0.1cm}
  \item  Funding from and collaboration with the 
         US-NRC, 
         US-DOE, 
         US-NSF,   
         CNSC,
         Shimizu Corp., and 
         AREVA NP GmbH
         is greatly appreciated,

%\vspace*{4mm}
  \item  Collaborators:
  Dr.   McCallen  (UCOP and LBNL),
  Prof. Buckle (UNR),
  Dr. Kammerer (UCB/PEER),
  Dr.    Budnitz    (LBNL),
  Prof. Kavvas (UCD),
  Prof. Sett (UB),
  Mr. Orbovi{\'c} (CNSC)
  Prof. Pisan{\`o} (TU Delft),
  Mr. Watanabe (Shimizu),
  Mr. Vlaski (AREVA NP GmbH),
  and
  UCD students:
  Mr. Abell,
  Mr. Karapiperis,
  Mr. Feng,
  Mr. Sinha,
  Mr. Luo
% 
% 
\end{itemize}

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% \includegraphics[width=2.20cm]{/home/jeremic/tex/works/Conferences/2014/DOE_Natural_Phenomena_Hazards_Germantown_MD-21-22Oct/present/Model01.jpeg}
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